CD Manchego vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALB
47%
30%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
PLA
0 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
MAN
3 - 1
ARG
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
ACF
77%
13%
9%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SAL
1 - 0
TCF
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
LPA
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
TAL
1 - 0
TCF
60%
20%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALC
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |