Manaus vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
FAS
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAN
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
REM
6 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
PEN
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
AFC
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 2
PEN
19%
20%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |