Manaus vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAN
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
REM
6 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
REM
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
AFC
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 2
PEN
19%
20%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
PRI
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |