Amazonense . Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Manaus vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
5 - 1
JCF
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JCF
0 - 2
MAN
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
PRI
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
CLI
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CLI
0 - 0
NAC
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
JCF
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +2 |