Manaus vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 3
MAN
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
FAS
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
4 - 2
NAC
61%
20%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
5 - 2
PRI
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |