Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
DIR
4 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
WAL
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 2
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 1
JUV
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
MAN
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
DIR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
JAP
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |