Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
DIR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
XIL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
TIG
22%
27%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 2
EST
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
LDA
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |