Apertura Nicaragua . Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 2
MAN
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
SAB
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAB
1 - 2
WAL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
5 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
WAL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
WAL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |