Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BID
3 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 0
ZES
84%
13%
3%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHI
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PIR
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
BID
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |