Mallén vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
ZAL
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
MAL
15%
19%
67%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
MAL
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
LMU
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 3
MAL
31%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
9 - 1
NOV
77%
15%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 3
CDM
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATE
6 - 0
CDM
25%
25%
51%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |