Colibríes de Malinalco vs Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colibríes de Malinalco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAT
2 - 1
MAL
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
2 - 3
MAL
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
GLA
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
VCF
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 2
HID
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VCF
0 - 4
HID
31%
23%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HID
1 - 2
CDA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 0
HID
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 2
HID
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |