WC Qual. Africa Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 0-1
Mali vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 0
GNQ
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
MRT
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BFA
1 - 0
TUN
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 0
TUN
15%
23%
63%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |