Mali vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 3
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
COG
0 - 1
MLI
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MLI
1 - 0
TGO
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SLE
0 - 0
MLI
32%
27%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
TCD
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
60%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 0
SLE
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TGO
2 - 1
BEN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
GNQ
2 - 0
BEN
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |