Mali vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 1
MLI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
1 - 1
MLI
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
BFA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 2
MLI
23%
26%
52%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLI
1 - 0
NAM
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
COG
1 - 0
LBY
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
COG
1 - 1
NER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COD
1 - 0
COG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
COG
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SWZ
0 - 0
COG
12%
20%
67%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |