CAF U20 . Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Mali U20 vs Burkina Faso U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BFA
0 - 0
MLI
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MLI
4 - 1
MAU
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
MAU
0 - 3
MLI
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
MLI
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
2 - 1
MLI
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BFA
0 - 0
MLI
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
COG
2 - 2
BFA
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 1
COG
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
BFA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BFA
2 - 2
GAB
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |