Maldives vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 2
MDV
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MDV
0 - 0
PSE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
KGZ
0 - 2
MDV
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
MDV
2 - 3
MMR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
MDV
10 - 0
LKA
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BLR
6 - 1
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
KAZ
2 - 1
TJK
59%
21%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
TJK
4 - 1
MYS
46%
23%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
TJK
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |