Malawi vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
GIN
1 - 0
MWI
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
MWI
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MWI
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MWI
0 - 4
CMR
13%
24%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CIV
2 - 1
MWI
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 0
ZWE
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ZWE
0 - 0
SDN
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
ETH
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
ZWE
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 1
GHA
22%
27%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |