CAF Qualifying Grupo B. Jor. 1

Malawi vs South Sudan analysis

Malawi South Sudan
61 ELO 44
-15.4% Tilt -25.3%
2397º General ELO ranking 4623º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.6%
Malawi
20.9%
Draw
16.5%
South Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
Malawi
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
South Sudan
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malawi
+9%
+9%
South Sudan

ELO progression

Malawi
South Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malawi
Malawi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2019
MWI
Malawi
1 - 0
Botsuana
BWA
42%
27%
31%
60 60 0 0
07 Sep. 2019
BWA
Botsuana
0 - 0
Malawi
MWI
41%
28%
31%
60 60 0 0
07 Jun. 2019
ZAF
South Africa
0 - 0
Malawi
MWI
72%
20%
9%
59 81 22 +1
04 Jun. 2019
COM
Comoros
1 - 2
Malawi
MWI
14%
26%
61%
59 37 22 0
02 Jun. 2019
ZMB
Zambia
2 - 2
Malawi
MWI
69%
20%
11%
58 74 16 +1

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2019
SYC
Seychelles
0 - 1
South Sudan
SSD
25%
21%
54%
44 36 8 0
09 Oct. 2019
SSD
South Sudan
2 - 1
Seychelles
SYC
51%
22%
27%
43 36 7 +1
08 Sep. 2019
GNQ
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 0
South Sudan
SSD
59%
22%
20%
44 56 12 -1
04 Sep. 2019
SSD
South Sudan
1 - 1
Equatorial Guinea
GNQ
14%
17%
69%
43 56 13 +1
04 Aug. 2019
SSD
South Sudan
1 - 2
Burundi
BDI
16%
19%
65%
43 56 13 0
X