Malawi vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 1
MWI
32%
24%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TZA
0 - 0
MWI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TCD
3 - 2
MWI
17%
21%
63%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NGA
1 - 0
NAM
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
NGA
47%
27%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 2
NGA
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
18%
29%
53%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |