Malawi vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
23.2%
66.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
MWI
10%
23%
67%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NER
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
4 - 1
EGY
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |