CAF Qualifying Grupo B round 4

Malawi vs Cameroon analysis

Malawi Cameroon
59 ELO 84
-11.3% Tilt -22.6%
2698º General ELO ranking 514º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.3%
Malawi
24.3%
Draw
62.4%
Cameroon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
Malawi
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
62.4%
Win probability
Cameroon
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malawi
-2%
-5%
Cameroon

ELO progression

Malawi
Cameroon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malawi
Malawi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
CMR
Cameroon
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
76%
17%
7%
59 84 25 0
11 Sep. 2018
KEN
Kenya
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
41%
28%
31%
59 60 1 0
08 Sep. 2018
MAR
Morocco
3 - 0
Malawi
MWI
79%
16%
5%
59 86 27 0
01 Jun. 2018
ANG
Angola
0 - 0
Malawi
MWI
58%
25%
17%
59 69 10 0
30 May. 2018
MWI
Malawi
1 - 1
Botswana
BOT
45%
27%
28%
59 61 2 0

Matches

Cameroon
Cameroon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
CMR
Cameroon
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
76%
17%
7%
84 59 25 0
08 Sep. 2018
COM
Comoros
1 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
6%
17%
76%
84 36 48 0
27 May. 2018
CMR
Cameroon
0 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
63%
24%
14%
84 72 12 0
25 Mar. 2018
KWT
Kuwait
1 - 3
Cameroon
CMR
37%
27%
36%
84 75 9 0
24 Jan. 2018
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
34%
28%
39%
84 73 11 0