Segunda . Jor. 33

Málaga vs Leganés analysis

Málaga Leganés
63 ELO 71
-16.5% Tilt -14%
1057º General ELO ranking 415º
44º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Málaga
30.6%
Draw
43.7%
Leganés

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
Málaga
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
43.7%
Win probability
Leganés
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
-2%
+6%
Leganés

Points and table prediction

Málaga
Their league position
Leganés
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
14º
22º
19º
53
22º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Granada
75
75
100%
Las Palmas
72
72
100%
Levante
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés
71
71
0%
Eibar
71
71
0%
Albacete
67
67
100%
FC Andorra
59
59
0%
Real Oviedo
59
59
0%
FC Cartagena
58
58
100%
Tenerife
10º
57
57
10º
100%
Racing
12º
54
54
11º
100%
Burgos
11º
54
54
12º
100%
Real Zaragoza
13º
53
53
13º
0%
Leganés
14º
53
53
14º
0%
Huesca
15º
52
52
15º
0%
Mirandés
16º
52
52
16º
0%
Real Sporting
17º
50
50
17º
0%
Villarreal B
18º
50
50
18º
0%
Málaga
20º
44
44
19º
100%
Ponferradina
19º
44
44
20º
100%
UD Ibiza
21º
34
34
21º
100%
CD Lugo
22º
31
31
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Málaga
Leganés
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Málaga
Leganés
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2023
MAL
Málaga
0 - 0
Levante
LEV
11%
21%
68%
61 82 21 0
11 Mar. 2023
UDL
Las Palmas
2 - 2
Málaga
MAL
72%
19%
9%
61 75 14 0
05 Mar. 2023
MAL
Málaga
0 - 1
Racing
RAC
34%
29%
37%
62 65 3 -1
27 Feb. 2023
GRA
Granada
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
73%
19%
8%
62 79 17 0
20 Feb. 2023
MAL
Málaga
3 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
26%
29%
45%
61 68 7 +1

Matches

Leganés
Leganés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
LEG
Leganés
0 - 1
Real Oviedo
OVI
47%
29%
24%
73 70 3 0
12 Mar. 2023
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 0
Leganés
LEG
31%
31%
38%
73 67 6 0
05 Mar. 2023
LEG
Leganés
0 - 1
UD Ibiza
IBI
68%
22%
11%
74 58 16 -1
25 Feb. 2023
MIR
Mirandés
0 - 0
Leganés
LEG
38%
28%
34%
74 65 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
LEG
Leganés
0 - 0
Las Palmas
UDL
43%
28%
29%
74 75 1 0
X