Málaga vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAD
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 0
VAD
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAL
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALC
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
45%
29%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 3
VAD
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 0
ATH
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
MLL
1 - 2
GRA
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
RMA
9%
18%
74%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 3
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |