Málaga vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
MAL
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
49%
29%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IBI
2 - 2
MAL
30%
30%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 1
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 2
SPO
51%
28%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 0
SDA
76%
18%
6%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 0
FCB
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |