Málaga vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MAL
4 - 1
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MLL
2 - 0
MAL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
3 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 0
LEV
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 1
ATM
50%
23%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LEV
2 - 0
ATM
24%
24%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 3
ARI
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 3
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |