Malacateco vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
11º
20
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
TOR
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
GUA
48%
29%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
COB
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 3
TOR
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 1
TOR
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 2
XIN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
4 - 2
IZT
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
IZT
4 - 0
ACH
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 2
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |