Makedonikos Neapolis vs AE Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
65.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
7º
8º
35
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 19 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 17 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 13 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 11 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 10 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 7 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 6 |
9º
|
85.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 2 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonikos Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 3
MKN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MKN
1 - 3
LEV
9%
23%
68%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
MKN
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 1
KAM
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 3
MKN
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 2
LEV
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 3
LAR
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
LAR
7%
21%
73%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 2
LAR
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |