Makedonija GP vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
48%
24%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
MAK
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
SHK
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
MAK
16%
20%
65%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 0
FKS
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 3
SIL
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |