Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 2
M05
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
M05
0 - 0
KSC
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RTV
2 - 0
M05
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
KOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STU
2 - 3
SCF
39%
25%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
SCF
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
WUR
0 - 1
SCF
11%
18%
71%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |