Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ELV
2 - 2
M05
12%
18%
70%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
GFK
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 0
M05
80%
14%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
M05
2 - 1
WUR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 4
RBL
4%
13%
83%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 2
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 0
AZA
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |