Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
M05
0 - 1
ALS
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
HOM
3 - 3
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
M05
3 - 2
SCF
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
SUL
4 - 0
M05
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
M05
0 - 3
PIR
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
EIN
2 - 1
HOM
63%
19%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
SCF
3 - 7
EIN
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
EIN
2 - 3
SUL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
FVS
1 - 1
EIN
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SUL
1 - 0
EIN
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |