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Bundesliga. Matchday 31

Mainz 05 Bayern München
71 ELO 96
-10% Tilt 21%
217º General ELO ranking
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.6%
Mainz 05
15.5%
Draw
74.9%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05
-6%
+30%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
18º
13º
71
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
81
100%
RB Leipzig
61
67
44%
Wolfsburg
57
64
32%
Eintracht Frankfurt
56
64
28%
B. Dortmund
52
59
88%
B. Leverkusen
47
53
62%
B. Mönchengladbach
43
49
30%
Union Berlin
43
47
27%
SC Freiburg
40
45
10º
26%
Stuttgart
10º
39
45
22%
Hoffenheim
11º
35
42
11º
51%
FC Augsburg
12º
33
37
12º
36%
Mainz 05
13º
31
35
15º
11%
Werder Bremen
14º
30
35
14º
21%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
30
32
16º
16%
Hertha BSC
16º
26
35
13º
15%
Köln
17º
26
31
17º
42%
Schalke 04
18º
13
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
76% 0%
Relegation playoffs
16% 0%
Relegation
8% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
Mainz 05
M05
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
B. Leverkusen
LEV
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO M05 ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2021
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
52%
26%
23%
1953 2043 90 0
11 Apr. 2021
KOL
Köln
2 - 3
Mainz 05
M05
47%
27%
26%
1940 1960 20 +13
03 Apr. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
60%
22%
17%
1944 1532 412 -4
25 Mar. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Nürnberg
FCN
61%
21%
17%
1956 1369 587 -12
21 Mar. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
M05
58%
24%
19%
1940 2275 335 +16

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
79%
14%
7%
3695 2626 1069 +4
17 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
25%
25%
50%
3690 2559 -1131 +5
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3659 3711 52 +36
10 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
80%
13%
7%
3660 1771 1889 -11
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3691 3663 28 -25