Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 1
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
M05
1 - 1
HOF
19%
20%
62%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SCF
1 - 3
M05
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
M05
2 - 2
S04
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AUG
3 - 1
M05
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
WOL
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 2
FCU
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 1
KOL
45%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 2
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |