Bundesliga U19 Sur / Suroeste Round 16

Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Karlsruher SC U19
33 ELO 30
13.9% Tilt 14%
7874º General ELO ranking 6790º
393º Country ELO ranking 344º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Mainz 05 U19
17.9%
Draw
17%
Karlsruher SC U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC U19
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-4%
+63%
Karlsruher SC U19

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05 U19
Their league position
Karlsruher SC U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
36
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mainz 05 U19
38
38
100%
Karlsruher SC U19
36
36
100%
Nürnberg U19
34
34
100%
Hoffenheim U19
28
28
100%
Bayern München U19
27
27
100%
Heidenheim U19
25
25
100%
1860 München U19
24
24
100%
VfB Stuttgart U19
23
23
100%
FC Augsburg U19
21
21
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Ingolstadt U19
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Unterhaching U19
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Darmstadt 98 U19
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Freiburg U19
14º
16
16
14º
0%
Reutlingen U19
15º
16
16
15º
0%
Astoria Walldorf U19
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Eintracht Trier U19
17º
1
1
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05 U19
Karlsruher SC U19
Final Series
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Karlsruher SC U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 1
1860 München U19
MUN
77%
13%
10%
34 25 9 0
12 Feb. 2023
BYM
Bayern München U19
2 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
29%
21%
50%
35 28 7 -1
05 Feb. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
85%
10%
5%
35 20 15 0
04 Dec. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
19%
19%
62%
36 25 11 -1
19 Nov. 2022
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
5 - 1
Darmstadt 98 U19
DAR
84%
10%
6%
35 23 12 +1

Matches

Karlsruher SC U19
Karlsruher SC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
1 - 2
Heidenheim U19
HEI
77%
15%
8%
29 19 10 0
18 Feb. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt U19
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
23%
22%
55%
28 21 7 +1
11 Feb. 2023
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
4 - 1
Reutlingen U19
RTL
86%
10%
5%
28 14 14 0
04 Feb. 2023
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
0 - 2
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
54%
22%
24%
27 30 3 +1
10 Dec. 2022
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
2 - 1
Astoria Walldorf U19
AWS
70%
16%
13%
27 20 7 0