Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 8

Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Ingolstadt U19
22 ELO 17
1.2% Tilt 13.4%
7892º General ELO ranking 9477º
393º Country ELO ranking 458º
ELO win probability
73.8%
Mainz 05 U19
15%
Draw
11.2%
Ingolstadt U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.2%
Win probability
Ingolstadt U19
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
-36%
Ingolstadt U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Ingolstadt U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
46%
23%
31%
23 24 1 0
17 Sep. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Nürnberg U19
NUR
58%
21%
21%
22 20 2 +1
10 Sep. 2016
BYM
Bayern München U19
1 - 4
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
49%
22%
29%
21 21 0 +1
27 Aug. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 3
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
24%
21%
55%
22 29 7 -1
21 Aug. 2016
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
2 - 3
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
38%
23%
39%
22 20 2 0

Matches

Ingolstadt U19
Ingolstadt U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt U19
1 - 3
Hoffenheim U19
HOF
11%
15%
74%
18 28 10 0
17 Sep. 2016
MUN
1860 München U19
4 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
60%
20%
20%
18 21 3 0
10 Sep. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt U19
2 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
STU
52%
21%
27%
18 17 1 0
27 Aug. 2016
FRE
Freiburg U19
1 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
70%
16%
14%
18 21 3 0
20 Aug. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt U19
1 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
42%
21%
37%
18 18 0 0