Bundesliga U17 Süd/Südwest round 20

Mainz 05 U17 vs SGV Freiberg U17 analysis

Mainz 05 U17 SGV Freiberg U17
27 ELO 12
-1.3% Tilt 4.2%
9070º General ELO ranking 39483º
442º Country ELO ranking 1687º
ELO win probability
81.4%
Mainz 05 U17
12.5%
Draw
6.1%
SGV Freiberg U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
SGV Freiberg U17
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U17
SGV Freiberg U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2012
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 1
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
49%
23%
28%
25 25 0 0
03 Mar. 2012
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 1
Stuttgart U17
STT
16%
20%
64%
24 41 17 +1
25 Feb. 2012
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 0
Hoffenheim U17
HOF
28%
23%
48%
23 30 7 +1
18 Feb. 2012
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 2
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
30%
24%
45%
24 32 8 -1
11 Feb. 2012
GRF
Greuther Fürth U17
2 - 1
Mainz 05 U17
M05
51%
23%
26%
24 26 2 0

Matches

SGV Freiberg U17
SGV Freiberg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2012
EIF
Eintracht Frankfurt U17
1 - 1
SGV Freiberg U17
SGF
85%
11%
4%
11 42 31 0
04 Mar. 2012
SGF
SGV Freiberg U17
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
11%
19%
71%
7 33 26 +4
26 Feb. 2012
SGF
SGV Freiberg U17
0 - 7
Nürnberg U17
FCN
9%
16%
76%
7 36 29 0
18 Feb. 2012
SGF
SGV Freiberg U17
0 - 4
TSV 1860 München U17
MUN
9%
17%
74%
7 33 26 0
11 Feb. 2012
BMC
Bayern München U17
6 - 0
SGV Freiberg U17
SGF
86%
10%
4%
7 37 30 0