Mainz 05 II vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
AST
4 - 2
MAI
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 3
FSV
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KOB
2 - 2
MAI
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 5
ELV
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 2
MAI
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
PIR
2 - 0
VFR
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
VFR
2 - 1
AST
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FSV
0 - 2
VFR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VFR
1 - 1
KOB
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ELV
2 - 1
VFR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |