Mainz 05 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 2
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
OGG
1 - 3
MAI
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAI
0 - 1
ELV
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
BAY
2 - 2
MAI
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
BOC
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
RTV
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
PRE
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
WWO
3 - 2
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CLO
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |