Mainz 05 II vs Schott Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AST
0 - 2
MAI
34%
24%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 3
HES
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 1
MAI
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
KOB
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ULM
0 - 2
MAI
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 1
AST
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HES
2 - 0
SMA
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
HOF
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
KOB
2 - 1
SMA
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
ULM
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |