Mageense vs Niteroiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+669%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAG
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
ZFC
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
3 - 0
MAG
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 3
RIO
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BON
3 - 0
MAG
61%
21%
18%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Niteroiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 1
ZFC
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 2
NFC
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 1
CIG
16%
17%
68%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
RDJ
0 - 1
NFC
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 4
CEC
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |