Cup Winners Cup . 1/32
Global 2-1
Magdeburg vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
MAG
5 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 1
MAG
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1983 |
MAG
2 - 1
ERF
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
CZJ
2 - 3
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
MAG
0 - 0
ROS
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
SWA
0 - 1
SHW
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 1
MAG
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SWA
0 - 3
NTT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWA
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |