Magallanes vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
MAG
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 0
DSC
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAG
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
MAG
1 - 1
COB
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
NUB
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
DCO
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
USF
35%
30%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |