Campeonato de Portugal Sur. Jor. 5

Mafra vs CF Benfica analysis

Mafra CF Benfica
50 ELO 34
-4.4% Tilt -12.3%
1630º General ELO ranking 20474º
26º Country ELO ranking 341º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Mafra
17.1%
Draw
10.3%
CF Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
Mafra
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.3%
Win probability
CF Benfica
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mafra
CF Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mafra
Mafra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2012
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Mafra
MAF
66%
22%
12%
50 61 11 0
30 Sep. 2012
MAF
Mafra
3 - 0
Ribeira Brava
RIB
73%
17%
10%
50 36 14 0
23 Sep. 2012
CAS
Casa Pia AC
1 - 1
Mafra
MAF
46%
27%
28%
51 49 2 -1
02 Sep. 2012
MAF
Mafra
3 - 1
Louletano
LOU
67%
20%
13%
51 42 9 0
29 Apr. 2012
ORI
Oriental Lisboa
0 - 0
Mafra
MAF
57%
25%
18%
52 58 6 -1

Matches

CF Benfica
CF Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2012
CFB
CF Benfica
2 - 2
1º Dezembro
1DE
37%
27%
37%
34 41 7 0
30 Sep. 2012
CAR
Carregado
8 - 2
CF Benfica
CFB
75%
15%
9%
34 48 14 0
23 Sep. 2012
CFB
CF Benfica
0 - 0
Quarteirense
QUA
60%
21%
19%
35 30 5 -1
16 Sep. 2012
CFB
CF Benfica
1 - 2
Fafe
FAF
18%
22%
60%
36 53 17 -1
02 Sep. 2012
FAR
Farense
1 - 1
CF Benfica
CFB
81%
14%
5%
36 68 32 0
X