MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MAFCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 2
AZT
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MZU
3 - 0
MAF
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EPA
0 - 1
MAF
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAF
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
BLU
1 - 0
MAF
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moyale Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
DWA
1 - 2
MOY
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOY
1 - 0
BUL
50%
28%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
MOY
4 - 0
EPA
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOY
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MWF
1 - 1
MOY
53%
24%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |