Madureira RJ vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAD
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAD
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
MAD
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
SAO
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAD
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |