Madalena FC vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOA
18%
25%
57%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
OPE
21%
23%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
AMA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COI
0 - 0
AMA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
GON
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
AMA
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |