Madagascar vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
MDG
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MDG
1 - 0
COD
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
MDG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TZA
3 - 2
MDG
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MDG
0 - 1
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 3
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
TZA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TZA
3 - 2
MDG
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
COD
1 - 1
TZA
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |