Madagascar vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NER
2 - 6
MDG
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
MDG
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MDG
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BFA
3 - 0
COD
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BFA
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
UGA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
GHA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 1
GAB
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |