Madagascar vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MDG
0 - 0
NER
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MDG
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
MDG
1 - 1
CIV
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CIV
2 - 1
MDG
77%
17%
6%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MDG
1 - 2
BFA
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ZMB
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
TGO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |