Madagascar vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
MDG
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 3
MDG
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
MDG
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | +3 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COG
1 - 0
CAF
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAF
2 - 1
COG
8%
19%
73%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CAF
1 - 1
GHA
7%
19%
74%
|
34 | 80 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
AGO
2 - 1
CAF
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TZA
3 - 1
CAF
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |